Methodological foundations for shaping the theory of a circular carbon economy
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17072/1994-9960-2025-3-377-401Abstract
Introduction. Tough climate disputes, lack of any tangible progress in greenhouse gas emission reductions, and escalating anthropogenic pressure on ecosystems demand to rethink sustainable development strategies. Modern challenges require the integration of sustainable approaches combining environmental and economic efficiency.
The purpose of the study is to analyze the evolution of the theories of low-carbon development and circular economy, as well as to substantiate their integration to improve the efficiency of the current climate policy.
Materials and Methods. The methods of logical and comparative historical analysis, generalization of scientific literature, strategic and industry documents, institutional and scenario analysis were used. A conceptual approach rooted in the regular integration of low-carbon development and circular economy’s principles was used to design a new theoretical model.
Results. The work revealed patterns of convergence in the approaches to low-carbon development and circular economy, which made it possible to justify the emergence of a new paradigm – the CCE. The CCE is shown to look upon man-made CO2 emissions as a carrier of positive externalities, but only if they are managed rationally through industrial recycling processes available in various industries.
Conclusions. The proposed conceptual approach contributes to the development of the theory and practice of climate policy, increases its adaptability to the economic systems of different scales and regional characteristics. In addition, it can trigger a new stage of research aimed at diversifying and improving the effectiveness of low-carbon development strategies.
Keywords: circular carbon economy, low-carbon development, circular economy, externalities, sustainable development, CO2, climate change mitigation, CO2 sequestration, CO2 recycling
For citation
Tcvetkov P. S., Andreichyk A. Methodological foundations for shaping the theory of a circular carbon economy. Perm University Herald. Economy, 2025, vol. 20, no. 3, pp. 377–401. DOI 10.17072/1994-9960-2025-3-377-401. EDN KHJAFE
REFERENCES
- Sadovnichiy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I., Malkov S., Grinin L., Korotayev A. Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. Berlin, Heidelberg, Springer, 2023. 540 p. DOI 10.1007/978-3-031-34999-7
- Pozdeev V. L., Astrakhantseva Е. А. Closed-loop economics and sustainable development goals. Russian Journal of Management, 2022, vol. 10, no. 4, pp. 42–50. (In Russ.). DOI 10.29039/2409-6024-2022-10-4-42-50. EDN EESXWB
- Tolstykh Т. О., Geraskina А. А., Shchelchkov К. А. Prospects for a circular economy in Russia at the phase of global challenges. Economics of Sustianable Development, 2024, no. 2 (58), pp. 252–257. (In Russ.). EDN TMEWZC
- Tcvetkov P., Cherepovitsyn A., Fedoseev S. The changing role of CO₂ in the transition to a circular economy: Review of carbon sequestration projects. Sustainability, 2019, vol. 11, no. 20, Article 5834. DOI 10.3390/su11205834
- Brundtland G. H. Our Common Future: Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development. Oxford, Oxford University Press, 1987. 400 p.
- Rockström J., Steffen W., Noone K. et al. Planetary boundaries: Exploring the safe operating space for humanity. Ecology and Society. 2009. Vol. 14, no. 2. Article 32. DOI 10.5751/ES-03180-140232
- Arrhenius S. On the influence of carbonic acid in the air upon the temperature on the ground. Philosophical Magazine, 1896, vol. 41, pp. 237–276. DOI 10.1080/14786449608620846
- Berger A. Milankovitch theory and climate. Reviews of Geophysics, 1988, vol. 26, no. 4, pp. 624–657. DOI 10.1029/RG026i004p00624
- Tierney J. E., Poulsen C. J., Montañez I. P., Bhattacharya T., Feng R., Ford H. L., Harnick D. J., Inglis G. N., Petersen S. V., Sagoo N., Tabor C. R., Thirumalai K., Zhu J. Past climates inform our future. Science, 2020, vol. 370, iss. 6517, eaay3701. DOI 10.1126/science.aay3701
- Armstrong McKay D. I., Staal A., Abrams J. F., Winkelmann R., Sakschewski B., Loriani S., Fetzer I., Cornell S. E., Rockström J., Lenton T. M. Exceeding 1.5 °C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. Science, 2022, vol. 377, iss. 6611, abn7950. DOI 10.1126/science.abn7950
- Nerem R. S., Beckley B. D., Fasullo J. T., Hamlington B. D., Masters D., Mitchum G. T. Climate-change-driven accelerated sea-level rise detected in the altimeter era. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, 2018, vol. 115, no. 9, pp. 2022–2025. DOI 10.1073/pnas.1717312115
- White K., Hardisty D. J., Habib R. The elusive green consumer. Harvard Business Review, Available at https://clck.ru/3NUrPS (access date: 25.01.2025).
- Our energy future – creating a low carbon economy: Energy white paper. London, The Stationery Office (TSO), 2003. 144 p. Available at https://clck.ru/3NUs8X (access date: 25.01.2025).
- Newman A. J., Dowson G. R., Platt E. G., Handford-Styring H. J., Styring P. Custodians of carbon: Creating a circular carbon economy. Frontiers in Energy Research, 2023, vol. 11, Article 1124072. DOI 10.3389/fenrg.2023.1124072
- Shvarts E. A., Ptichnikov A. V., Romanovskaya A. A., Korotkov V. N., Baybar A. S. The low-carbon development strategy of Russia until 2050 and the role of forests in its implementation. Sustainability, 2025, vol. 17, no. 15, Article 6917. DOI 10.3390/su17156917
- Bashmakov I. A., Bashmakov V. I., Borisov K. B., Dzedzichek M. G., Lunin A. A., Lebedev O. V., Myshak A. I. Dvizhenie Rossii k uglerodnoi neitral'nosti: razvilki na dorozhnykh kartakh. CENEF-XXI, 2023. 86 p. (In Russ.). Available at https://clck.ru/3NUoA4 (access date: 25.01.2025).
- Glazyev S. Yu. On the external and internal threats to the economic security of Russia in the context of American aggression. Management and Business Administration, 2015, no. 1, pp. 4–20. (In Russ.). EDN TKTDGH. no. 2, pp. 11–25. (In Russ.). EDN TXOLEX
- Lakatos I. Falsification and the methodology of scientific research programmes. Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge. Ed. by I. Lakatos, A. Musgrave. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 1970, pp. 91–196. DOI 10.1017/CBO9781139171434.009
- Kuhn T. S. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. Chicago, University of Chicago Press, 1997. 212 p.
- Geissdoerfer M., Savaget P., Bocken N. M., Hultink E. J. The circular economy – a new sustainability paradigm? Journal of Cleaner Production, 2017, vol. 143, pp. 757–768. DOI 10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.12.048
- Braungart M., McDonough W., Bollinger A. Cradle-to-cradle design: Creating healthy emissions – a strategy for eco-effective product and system design. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2007, vol. 15, no. 13–14, pp. 1337–1348. DOI 10.1016/j.jclepro.2006.08.003
- Ezdina N. P. Recycling and problems of development of circular economy in Russia. Economics and Innovation Management, 2024, no. 2 (29), pp. 90–98. (In Russ.). DOI 10.26730/2587-5574-2024-2-90-98. EDN USMERF
- Costanza R. Ecological Economics: The Science and Management of Sustainability. New York, Columbia University Press, 1992. 275 p.
- Forrester J. Mirovaya dinamika. Moscow, AST Publ., 2003. 382 p. (In Russ.).
- Medouz D. Kh., Randers I., Medouz D. L. Predely rosta: 30 let spustya. Moscow, BINOM. Laboratoriya znanii Publ., 2014. 362 p. (In Russ.).
- Boulding K. The economics of the coming spaceship Earth. H. Jarrett (Ed.). Environmental Quality in a Growing Economy, Resources for the Future. Baltimore, Johns Hopkins University Press, 1966, pp. 3–14.
- Loiseau E., Saikku L., Antikainen R., Droste N., Hansjürgens B., Pitkänen K., Leskinen P., Kuikman P., Thomsen M. Green economy and related concepts: An overview. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2016, vol. 139, pp. 361–371. DOI 10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.08.024
- Dzhengiz T., Miller E. M., Ovaska J. P., Patala S. Unpacking the circular economy: A problematizing review. International Journal of Management Reviews, 2023, vol. 25, no. 2, pp. 270–296. DOI 10.1111/ijmr.12329
- Extended Producer Responsibility: Basic Facts and Key Principles. OECD Environment Policy Papers No. 41. Paris, OECD, 2024. 19 p. DOI 10.1787/67587b0b-en
- Van Doorsselaer K. The role of ecodesign in the circular economy. Circular Economy and Sustainability. Ed. by K. Gnanapragasam et al. Amsterdam, Elsevier, 2022, pp. 189–205. DOI 10.1016/B978-0-12-819817-9.00018-1
- Flynn A., Hacking N. Setting standards for a circular economy: A challenge too far for neoliberal environmental governance? Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019, vol. 212, pp. 1256–1267. DOI 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.11.257
- Witjes S., Lozano R. Towards a more circular economy: Proposing a framework linking sustainable public procurement and sustainable business models. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2016, vol. 112, pp. 37–44. DOI 10.1016/j.resconrec.2016.04.015
- Boyer R. H., Hunka A. D., Linder M., Whalen K. A., Habibi S. Product labels for the circular economy: Are customers willing to pay for circular? Sustainable Production and Consumption, 2021, vol. 27, pp. 61–71. DOI 10.1016/j.spc.2020.10.010
- Tiippana-Usvasalo M., Pajunen N., Maria H. The role of education in promoting circular economy. International Journal of Sustainable Engineering, 2023, vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 92–103. DOI 10.1080/19397038.2023.2210592
- Salvioni D. M., Almici A. Transitioning toward a circular economy: The impact of stakeholder engagement on sustainability culture. Sustainability, 2020, vol. 12, no. 20, Article 8641. DOI 10.3390/su12208641
- Heshmati A. A review of the circular economy and its implementation. International Journal of Green Economics, 2017, vol. 11, no. 3-4, pp. 251–288. DOI 10.1504/IJGE.2017.10010876
- Marra A., Mazzocchitti M., Sarra A. Knowledge sharing and scientific cooperation in the design of research-based policies: The case of the circular economy. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2018, vol. 194, pp. 800–812. DOI 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.05.164
- Mishra J. L., Chiwenga K. D., Ali K. Collaboration as an enabler for circular economy: A case study of a developing country. Management Decision, 2021, vol. 59, no. 8, pp. 1784–1800. DOI 10.1108/MD-10-2018-1111
- Bocken N. M. P., de Pauw I., Bakker C., van der Grinten B. Product design and business model strategies for a circular economy. Journal of Industrial and Production Engineering, 2016, vol. 33, no. 5, pp. 308–320. DOI 10.1080/21681015.2016.1172124
- Boons F., Lüdeke-Freund F. Business models for sustainable innovation: State-of-the-art and steps towards a research agenda. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2013, vol. 45, pp. 9–19. DOI 10.1016/j.jclepro.2012.07.007
- Albino V., Fraccascia L. The industrial symbiosis approach: A classification of business models. Procedia Environmental Science, Engineering and Management, 2015, vol. 2, no. 3, pp. 217–223.
- Circular Advantage: Innovative Business Models and Technologies to Create Value in a World without Limits to Growth. Accenture, 2014. 24 p.
- Beltramello A., Haie-Fayle L., Pilat D. Why New Business Models Matter for Green Growth. Paris, OECD, 2013. 32 p.
- Berkhout P. H., Muskens J. C., Velthuijsen J. W. Defining the rebound effect. Energy Policy, 2000, vol. 28, no. 6–7, pp. 425–432. DOI 10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00022-7
- Alcott B., Giampietro M., Mayumi K., Polimeni J. The Jevons Paradox and the Myth of Resource Efficiency Improvements. London, Routledge, 2012. 208 p. DOI 10.4324/9781849773102
- Luomi M., Yilmaz F., Al Shehri T., Howarth N. The Circular Carbon Economy Index: Methodological Approach and Conceptual Frameworks. Riyadh, King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center, 2021. 36 p. DOI 10.30573/KS--2021-MP01
- Morseletto P. Targets for a circular economy. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2020, vol. 153, Article 104553. DOI 10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.104553
- Hardin G. The tragedy of the commons: The population problem has no technical solution; it requires a fundamental extension in morality. Science, 1968, vol. 162, no. 3859, pp. 1243–1248. DOI 10.1126/science.162.3859.1243
- Friedlingstein P., O’Sullivan M., Jones M. W. et al. Global Carbon Budget 2024. Earth System Science Data, 2025, vol. 17, iss. 3, pp. 965–1039. DOI 10.5194/essd-17-965-2025
- Idso C. D. The Positive Externalities of Carbon Dioxide. Tempe, AZ, Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, 2013. 50 p.
- Rubtsov S. A. Perspektivy vnedreniya ekonomiki zamknutogo tsikla v Rossii. Aktual'nye issledovaniya, 2024, no. 16-2 (198), pp. 6–10. (In Russ.). EDN AZVSXQ
- Porfiriev B. N., Terent’ev N. Е., Zinchenko Yu. V. Planning for adaptation to climate change: World experience and opportunities for sustainable social and economic development in Russia. Problemy prognozirovaniya, 2023, no. 2, pp. 154–168. (In Russ.). DOI 10.47711/0868-6351-197-154-168. EDN FTEIFZ
- Porfiriev B. N. Assessing the effectiveness and efficiency of the population and economy’s adaptation to climate change: Methodological approaches and limitations. Problemy prognozirovaniya, 2024, no. 3, pp. 97–117. (In Russ.). DOI 10.47711/0868-6351-204-97-117. EDN KLWGVI
- Kuznetsova N. А. Circular economy: Basic elements and opportunities. High-Tech Enterprises Economy, 2023, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 121–132. (In Russ.). DOI 10.18334/evp.4.2.117359. EDN TTVAAV
- Porfiriev B. N., Kolpakov A. Yu., Eliseev D. O., Saenko V. V., Polzikov D. A., Lazeeva E. A., Biryukov E. S. Ekonomicheskie effekty izmeneniya klimata v Rossii. Problemy prognozirovaniya, 2025, no. 2 (209), pp. 20–36. (In Russ.). DOI 10.47711/0868-6351-209-20-36. EDN DRXHSW